Party Name Seats (Current) Seats Change Percentage (Current) Percentage Change Majority Probability Minority Probability
Liberal 183 +23 43.6% +11% 70.5% 15.7%
Conservative 138 +19 43.2% +9.5% 5.7% 8.1%
Bloc 14 -18 3.5% -4.1% 0% 0%
New Democrat 6 -19 6.2% -11.6% N/A N/A
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[–] 12 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (3 children)

https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/liberal-oppo-csfn-1.7509217

Though is far too early for any backlash to show up in polls.

EDIT a word

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  • [–] [S] 11 points 1 year ago

    On Friday night, in two Ottawa bars, campaign workers shared how the party was behind this move — two Liberal Party staffers attended the conference intended for conservatives and placed these buttons in areas where attendees would find them.

    At the pub D'Arcy McGee's near Parliament Hill, a number of Liberal war room staffers met for drinks on the far side of the bar. This journalist joined one of them for a quick conversation, but heard another staffer, who had previously identified himself as being involved in opposition research, describing how he and a colleague planted the buttons.

    🤦 🤦‍♀️🤦‍♂️

    But yeah, the story is from April 13th so it's unlikely to be reflected in the polls. Plus given the attitudes at the moment, I doubt people who'd vote Lib would decide not to vote Lib based on this.

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  • [–] 2 points 1 year ago

    I believe this won't hurt as much as people assume. It might actually break through conservative users' media bubble a little bit because their algorithm is going to push this story down their throats as rage-bait but it also brings to their attention the real divide in the Conservative party currently. Something that might not have reached their eyes otherwise.

    It's probably a dumb mistake by overly eager staffers, but I can't shake the feeling that this is somewhat calculated.

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