I'm not sure that I'm what anyone would call "experienced". But I've used it for a long time. And people wetting their pants over one or another distribution seems like a total waste of time. they're all very similar.
I'm very much not happy to be associated with the community depicted in meme - i sincerely hope most of them are just taking the piss out of themselves.
I think even if there were quadruple the user base it's not going to materially change the number of developers making decent linux native programs. So you either use open source stuff. or webapps and wine stuff like that. Size of userbase is pretty irrelevant to me.