[–] 1 point 10 hours ago (1 child)

Thanks for introducing me to that!

The owners/investors in the company aren't the same people doing the yeomen's work of UX design. Often, these are two entirely separate companies.

Then we can’t speculate on how well they’re compensated or how. They clearly did a stellar job despite the cursed content though.

That's not reliance on Multivariate Testing, that's dogmatic belief in the infallibility of business management.

No. It’s an empirical observation. If a shop near you is doing 80% off all the time and not looking under the weather after a while you start to think they’re doing something clever behind the scenes. No dogmatic belief needed.

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  • [–] 1 point 22 hours ago (3 children)

    If you ever get your teeth into Game Theory,

    My ideal (personal) version has a protocol axis for the matrix, and the players can choose to wait. The payoff comes from ongoing constructive interference.

    you discover why A/B Testing patterns can run you down a rabbit hole.

    Multivariate testing isn’t A/B testing, it’s applied multivariate statistics that employs A/B testing as an operation.

    Tap for spoilerMultivariate statistics is a subdivision of statisticsencompassing the simultaneous observation and analysis of more than one outcome variable, i.e., multivariate random variables. Multivariate statistics concerns understanding the different aims and background of each of the different forms of multivariate analysis, and how they relate to each other. The practical application of multivariate statistics to a particular problem may involve several types of univariate and multivariate analyses in order to understand the relationships between variables and their relevance to the problem being studied.

    That's before you even consider the Ur-challenge of any business enterprise - The Principle Agent Problem. When you build an incentive structure to reward certain results, you can incentivize your agents to lie to you about the effectiveness of your policies.

    What agents?

    Is there any evidence that Temu's splash screen is generating more revenue per visitor than Amazon's?

    No idea, but if they’re doing it all the time then I doubt it’s detrimental for profitability.

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  • [–] 2 points 1 day ago (5 children)

    That's circular logic, assuming some kind of infallibility at the business end.

    Are you familiar with multivariate testing?

    So, how much did you end up spending on Temu after you watched the ads?

    It doesn’t have to work on everyone, just someone. I also sincerely doubt everyone is getting the full 2 minute edition. Maybe their algorithm decided to push it in this instance.

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  • [–] 2 points 1 day ago

    accidentally

    Reading this comment with the assumption my wife will find it some day: Right, she doesn’t give out my number instead of hers as a contact point every time she visits a shop that asks, and certainly not because she has it memorised and it’s too much of a bother to give out her own, not at all.

    All the WhatsApp group invitations for clothing and grocery places that happen after she goes shopping are completely unrelated.

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  • [–] 7 points 6 days ago*

    I used to think it funny how Game Theory research has to go through a negative sum medium to become relevant, but now imagine how many papers don’t even get funded because Game Theory has terminology that directly collides with their keywords. I asked Kagi assistant and it gave me a list with an estimate of ~25-30 direct collisions, and ~10-15 fuzzy matches. That’s 35–45 collision terms total.

    Disclaimer: not American and not a researcher, just interested in the dynamics happening here

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    Image Description: A digital meme divided into two main panels: a mathematical whiteboard explanation at the top and a reaction image at the bottom. Top Panel (The Whiteboard): Titled "P-ADIC FINANCE where p = profit." It explains a fictional financial system using real advanced mathematics. Left text: "In this metric, a number's size is how little profit divides it. The more profitable the crime, the closer its penalty sits to zero. String together ever-bigger crimes and the fines don't blow up, they converge." A sequence shows: "p, p^2, p^3, ... arrow pointing to 0." Right chart: A table titled "Crime, Profit, Fine, Fine Size in P-Adic Metric." It lists crimes: Outsource pollution: Profit = p, Fine = $1M, P-adic size = 1/p (small). Fake the numbers: Profit = p^2, Fine = $10M, P-adic size = 1/p^2 (smaller). Fix the market: Profit = p^3, Fine = $100M, P-adic size = 1/p^3 (tinier). Ruin a country: Profit = p^4, Fine = $1B, P-adic size = 1/p^4 (minuscule). Repeat infinitely: Profit = p^n, Fine = p^n (lol), P-adic size = 1/p^n which approaches 0. Below the chart: A number line showing 0 on the far left (labeled "Where your fines live") and numbers increasing to the right (labeled "Big in absolute world"). A final box states: "The true crime in a corporate environment is not choosing p." Bottom Panel (The Reaction): A sepia-toned photograph of a group of wealthy white men in suits, including former U.S. President Ronald Reagan, laughing uproariously together at a gathering. Edited comic speech bubbles are assigned to them: One asks, "Why'd we even need lawyers?" Another laughs, "We just changed the metric lmfao." A third says, "Fines are for poors." A man in the foreground laughs, "Infinite money glitch found boys." In the bottom right corner, a modern internet meme character (a crying, angry "Wojak" in a suit wearing a badge that reads "REGULATORS") has a thought bubble that reads: "They took us for absolute fools." Bottom Caption: Superimposed across the bottom in large, bold, white Impact font: "THEY TOOK US FOR ABSOLUTE FOOLS"—a pun on the word "absolute" referring to both being deeply tricked and the standard mathematical "absolute metric."

     

    Image Description: A digital meme divided into two main panels: a mathematical whiteboard explanation at the top and a reaction image at the bottom. Top Panel (The Whiteboard): Titled "P-ADIC FINANCE where p = profit." It explains a fictional financial system using real advanced mathematics. Left text: "In this metric, a number's size is how little profit divides it. The more profitable the crime, the closer its penalty sits to zero. String together ever-bigger crimes and the fines don't blow up, they converge." A sequence shows: "p, p^2, p^3, ... arrow pointing to 0." Right chart: A table titled "Crime, Profit, Fine, Fine Size in P-Adic Metric." It lists crimes: Outsource pollution: Profit = p, Fine = $1M, P-adic size = 1/p (small). Fake the numbers: Profit = p^2, Fine = $10M, P-adic size = 1/p^2 (smaller). Fix the market: Profit = p^3, Fine = $100M, P-adic size = 1/p^3 (tinier). Ruin a country: Profit = p^4, Fine = $1B, P-adic size = 1/p^4 (minuscule). Repeat infinitely: Profit = p^n, Fine = p^n (lol), P-adic size = 1/p^n which approaches 0. Below the chart: A number line showing 0 on the far left (labeled "Where your fines live") and numbers increasing to the right (labeled "Big in absolute world"). A final box states: "The true crime in a corporate environment is not choosing p." Bottom Panel (The Reaction): A sepia-toned photograph of a group of wealthy white men in suits, including former U.S. President Ronald Reagan, laughing uproariously together at a gathering. Edited comic speech bubbles are assigned to them: One asks, "Why'd we even need lawyers?" Another laughs, "We just changed the metric lmfao." A third says, "Fines are for poors." A man in the foreground laughs, "Infinite money glitch found boys." In the bottom right corner, a modern internet meme character (a crying, angry "Wojak" in a suit wearing a badge that reads "REGULATORS") has a thought bubble that reads: "They took us for absolute fools." Bottom Caption: Superimposed across the bottom in large, bold, white Impact font: "THEY TOOK US FOR ABSOLUTE FOOLS"—a pun on the word "absolute" referring to both being deeply tricked and the standard mathematical "absolute metric."

    submitted 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) by to c/music@lemmy.world
     

    Thought some of you might appreciate this gem.

    I spent like 2 hours translating the lyrics because I didn’t like the existing translations (they’re missing a lot of the subtext, but feel free to check them out too)

    Translation:


    He save sea turtles,

    And kills “human animals”

    That’s a cause,

    And that’s a cause


    How to become a white angel,

    With half a conscience:

    Justify movements for liberalism,

    Pulverise the ones for liberation

    Distribute your empathy and compassion,

    On the murdered based on nationality

    But that’s a cause, and that’s a cause


    How to become a civilised human,

    That meets all the requirements:

    All your words must wear Kevlar vests,

    And you must hug all the trees

    You must call the doorman a guardian,

    Whilst an army demolishes schools nearby

    And if you catch yourself with blood on your clothes,

    You must proclaim everyone a victim

    But that’s a cause, and that’s a cause


    How do I believe this world,

    When it talks about humanity?

    When I see a mother mourning her son,

    Who died from famine in a raid?

    And he equates the murdered with the murderer,

    With honour, impartiality and integrity

    But that’s a cause, and that’s a cause


    How do I sleep with peace of mind,

    And don my ear-plugs,

    While the family buried under their home,

    Are denied access for rescue?

    As if the earth entombing them,

    Is not part of this globe?

    But that’s a cause, and that’s a cause


    How do you live in an expansive prison,

    With cells made of brim and stone?

    Yet you rise from under the rubble,

    To grip the neck of your killer?

    Then you gather your entrails and fight,

    And show this hypocritical world,

    How the law of the jungle applies,

    And where the road to liberty is,

    And how to take on a tank?


    It doesn’t matter if the world talks,

    Die free and don’t live in subjugation

    Inspire a generation and the next to learn

    How to live and die for a cause


    What world are we crying out for,

    To denounce and condemn?

    Condemn all you want,

    For any condemnation, for what’s happening in the slaughterhouse

    Won’t lessen the gunpowder in the cannon shell

    And won’t refund a daylight for him


    But that’s a cause,

    And this is… a struggle

    This is a struggle

     

    Alt text: A line plot with 2 axis (confidence vs competence) referencing the Dunning-Kruger effect with various distro logos placed at different points on the line. Starts with mint/ubuntu near (0,0) and progressing through multiple distros to end up with opensuse/fedora at what it calls “the plateau of sustainability”

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