[–] 6 points 1 year ago (1 child)

Go to an indie theater screening of The Room or Rocky Horror. People interacting with the movie has been a thing for decades. People were shit-talking to the characters on stage during Shakespeare's plays during his lifetime.

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  • [–] 11 points 2 years ago (1 child)

    Musk is an idiot who bought Twitter stock, tried to pump and dump, waived due diligence as part of the pump, and found himself contractually obligated to buy the company. Everything since then is what Musk thinks are good ideas.

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  • [–] 2 points 2 years ago

    It's kind of an old concept. The idea is that truly new discoveries, like new theories and inventions rather than expansions or extensions, mostly happen by serendipity. So if you have more people churning ideas you get a higher probability of winning serendipity.

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  • [–] 21 points 2 years ago

    During WW2, the Allies wanted to armor their planes better so more would survive missions. But armor is expensive and heavy so you'd have to prioritize where to put it.

    So they go out and collect data on the returning planes to see where they'd been hit. That picture is basically the data collected: where returning planes had sustained the most damage.

    So most of the engineers looked at that and went "Aha, the points with the most damage should be armored, since they get shredded up pretty good."

    And one engineer went "Um actually, if they got shot there and came back, armor doesn't matter. We need to armor the spots with no bullet holes, since a plane shot there wasn't able to return."

    And so it was, and they called it Survivor Bias.

    In this case, it's survivor bias about becoming more conservative as you age

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