The U.S. grocery slowdown is becoming harder to ignore.

Shoppers are buying fewer items than a year ago, and grocery sales are declining as weakening unit sales are now outweighing rising prices. That is according to new analysis from Bain & Company using NielsenIQ grocery data shared exclusively with CNBC.

Grocery units, which refer to individual items or products sold, fell 1.8% in June from a year earlier, a sharp reversal from the 0.1% year-over-year growth recorded in June 2025. While prices continue to rise about 2% to 3% year-over-year, that inflation cushion for the industry is no longer enough to keep overall sales growing.

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[–] 235 points 1 week ago (6 children)

Food is famously a luxury good so it makes sense people would pull back in order to spend their money on necessities like bombs to drop on foreign elementary schools and shit

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    [–] 142 points 1 week ago (3 children)

    I like the headline:
    "It's a problem for the food companies that the customer don't have money"

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    [–] 113 points 1 week ago (2 children)

    this should be the true economic indicator, not the fucking DOW. idc if the DOW is fifty million, if people cant afford food we have a major fucking problem.

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  • [–] 20 points 1 week ago* (1 child)

    DJIA is not an economic indicator. The index highlights half of the relation between Industrials and Transports (DJTA). The S&P 500 is closer to an economic indicator but still not really. The Dow is usually referenced as a distraction from real indicators like the Capitalization to GDP ratio (aka Buffett Indicator). If one looks at the real indicators, we've been in some real economy ending doom for quite a while now.

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    [–] 71 points 1 week ago (1 child)

    Companies should have thought of the repercussions before shoveling cash into fascism.

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  • [–] 69 points 1 week ago (1 child)

    Would someone please think of the companies!?

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  • [–] 57 points 1 week ago (2 children)

    Pressure on food companies? Loads of people not being able to afford much food seems like maybe those people are under some pressure too, and maybe that's the more important part?

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  • [–] 56 points 1 week ago (1 child)

    I'd buy a lot more food if my job paid me more. Instead, rice and beans baby. Maybe a splurge on champagne every time a key republican dies, but that's it.

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  • [–] 54 points 1 week ago (1 child)

    It's becoming harder to ignore the prices are higher and quality is worse than ever

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  • [–] 21 points 1 week ago (1 child)

    Hey, don't forget about quantity! Cereal boxes are so thin that they can't stand up on their own anymore, old recipes don't work anymore because cans are too small, and pretty much every non-food item has gotten 25% smaller or more.

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  • [–] 11 points 1 week ago*

    The cereal boxes are just awful I was stocking grocery for a while and you had to rely on tricks of physics to get those boxes fully stocked on the shelf lol. Just more proof they don't think about anyone down the line when they design stuff anymore

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  • [–] 46 points 1 week ago (4 children)

    All I know is, I'm 43, when I was a kid in the 90s we'd go grocery shopping and have an overflowing cart that was around $100. Now, the same cart $100 isn't enough to cover the wire mesh at the bottom of the cart. It's absolutely insane. I bet it would be $400 to fill the cart. That's not inflation thats a scam.

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  • [–] [S] 55 points 1 week ago

    It is absolutely a scam. Remember the egg shortage? Eggs were going for $7+ a dozen in SoCal and a few miles across the border the prices had only risen slightly to maybe $2.50/dozen.

    And now there's this:

    Egg producers will pay $3.3M and donate 53 million eggs to settle price fixing claims

    Forcing U.S. egg producers to pay a minuscule 0.37% fine on $1.22 billion in excess profits sends an unmistakable message to businesses everywhere. With Trump in charge they can fleece Americans without the slightest fear of consequences and they are doing just that.

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  • [–] 26 points 1 week ago

    I genuinely don't know how families are doing it. I spend as much on food as a single person as my parents did with a family in the early 2000s. Granted, we didn't eat much, but we didn't starve, and I don't eat much either. I rarely eat meat, I don't go to restaurants, and maybe once every month or two I'll "treat" myself to a gas station meal or a bagel sandwich from a coffee shop. I'm so glad I don't have children to try to feed.

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  • [–] 11 points 1 week ago

    old man here. I am not exaggerating to say you could have large paper grocery bags full of food using a 20 and get change back. Those paper grocery bags held more than twice the standard plastic ones from today. I keep complaining that places still have signs saying they won't take over a 20 when that was what everything would take when I was a kid. Nobody had signs saying they won't take anything over a 5 or 10.

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    [–] 45 points 1 week ago

    That's OK, they'll just raise prices more to make up for the falling consumption! /s

    Remember, the only two nations to vote against food -- FOOD being a human right at the UN a few years ago were... the USA and Israel.

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  • [–] 41 points 1 week ago (5 children)

    We have scaled back significantly on our grocery purchases within the past month. No snacks, only stuff that's on sale, beef products very rarely (because it's fucking expensive now) and fewer items overall. Even after all that it comes to around $80 per trip. But we are now losing money due to our power and water bills getting jacked up so we are looking into cutting back even more.

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    [–] 37 points 1 week ago (5 children)

    This is because of all the people who just got kicked off food stamps because of the big beautiful bill

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    [–] 28 points 1 week ago

    Won't someone think of the shareholders???

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  • [–] 25 points 1 week ago

    People can't afford to buy food? Please think about poor Nestlé, they might make slightly less profit this year.

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  • [–] 25 points 1 week ago (2 children)

    Have they tried paying people more?

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  • [–] 23 points 1 week ago (2 children)

    Probably doesn't help that some of the food can give you weeks long explosive diarrhea.

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    [–] 22 points 1 week ago* (1 child)

    Shoppers are buying fewer items than a year ago, and grocery sales are declining as weakening unit sales are now outweighing rising prices.

    You maximize profit by raising prices until the units sold fall to the point where prices * units falls below the peak. The peak is where profit is maximized. It seems they've reached it. For the next little while they'll keep on cutting costs to grow profits. Recipe reformulations with fewer and cheaper ingredients, cheaper substitutions, more soy and water in the sausages, and other general quality reductions.

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    [–] 21 points 1 week ago (2 children)

    I suck at math but even I know that stagnation of wages + increase in cost of rent + increase in cost of food = bad times.

    Wages continue to stagnate or people are being laid off left right and center and these knuckleheads are all shocked pikachu face that no one is buying while continuing to raise prices?

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    [–] 20 points 1 week ago (1 child)

    In Canada we are spending like 120% of our income on groceries and it isnt just the inflation but the compounding shrinkflation with climate crisis causing inclement weather that means crop insecurity...

    It aint looking good and at this point companies are going to have to realize they cant profit if nobody has any money to spend

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    [–] 19 points 1 week ago (1 child)

    Fuck anyone who makes millions off of basic human rights

    [ drops SM-58 mic ]

    [ the floor breaks ]

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    Pressure to bring prices down right? Less demand means lower prices right? The free market is a lie

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  • [–] 16 points 1 week ago (3 children)

    These grocery stores have been locking up a lot of items as well further shooting themselves in the foot because they refuse to look long term.

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    [–] 13 points 1 week ago

    You mean those same food companies that literally were found guilty of price fixing and then got a slap on the wrist, which was the best that we could do under the law, for manufacturing scarcity and screwing Americans over?

    Pressure on those food companies?

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  • [–] 13 points 1 week ago (1 child)

    That's one way to solve the obesity epidemic...

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    [–] 12 points 1 week ago

    The same greedy bastard would charge us for oxygen if they could. I am middle of the middle class and my grocery shopping has changed dramatically thanks to the shareholders and executives making life more difficult.

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  • [–] 12 points 1 week ago (1 child)

    Starting to think if prices go up ozempic starts to become cost effective

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