Someone downvoted you but you are correct. The report used assumptions based on satellites not even made of the same materials as starlink satellites.

https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2023/10/spacex-says-faa-is-wrong-about-starlink-satellite-debris-falling-to-earth/

Among other things, SpaceX said the FAA's debris estimates were based on a 23-year-old study of satellites that were made with different materials than Starlink satellites. SpaceX says its own satellites are designed to burn up completely when they reenter the atmosphere.

The FAA report to Congress did include a caveat that said, "If SpaceX is correct in reporting zero surviving debris, as SpaceX reports in FCC filings, and Starlink is a fully-demisable spacecraft, the rise in reentry risk is minimal over the current risk."

Yeah, I was going to say that there is no way that could be correct. There are only like 8000 satellites in orbit. There is no fucking way that small of a number is going to be hurting someone every couple years.

The people that put sats up have to calculate how every component will burn up in the atmosphere before they even get approval. Simply put, there's basically no chance of anyone dying from these things reentering the atmosphere.

Lol SpaceX. Why would I take them seriously?

TBF the original article you linked is in Chinese and does not have ads in the middle of the article, so you should compare their translated lengths.

All in all we need the original FAA report.

Edit: Ars Technica is way more useful as always.

The dragon capsule isn't going to suddenly fall out of orbit somewhere unexpected...

It's highly unlikely, but the possibility isn't 0. Like, what if an untracked asteroid hits it out of orbit?

It can hit in someone's vicinity causing them injury. It would rarely be a direct strike.

Satellites will have thoroughly fragmented by the time they reach the ground, you'd be hit by a piece of a satellite.

Assuming the study being referenced wasn't actually badly flawed, which it appears to be.

https://www.smithsonianmag.com/smithsonian-institution/1954-extraterrestrial-bruiser-shocked-alabama-woman-180973646/

One can get hurt without a direct hit. E.g. when a window bursts from a shockwave and hurts people inside a building.

I recommend you never buy a lottery ticket - because clearly you don't understand how luck works.

If a satellite were to smash through the roof of my office and land harmlessly on the floor, I reckon I'd be quite startled and might bump my knee on the bottom of the desk...

There's definitely a risk of injury, and you're far more likely to be injured than killed.

I'd probably also have to pay a couple hundred thousand dollars to repair my home, since I don't think insurance covers falling satellites and I'm certainly not going to try and sue a company on the other side of the world when they probably didn't do anything against the law anyway. Bruised knee would be the least of my problems.

Wait until you hear about Boring Company 's rogue tunnel diggers...