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You can’t stop Ukraine from defending itself even if you pull the support. Europe should fill the void.
Tbh my money is on Ukraine following through on their threat to do a crash nuclear weapons program. If the rest of the world won’t actually help them meaningfully, they’ll defend their interests as they see fit - as they should.
Sadly, it would mean a catastrophe for Ukraine if US stops weapons delivery. We already saw this scenario which resulted in fall of Avdiivka and other huge problems for Ukraine. Heck, EU isn't even capable of producing enough shells plus there is a lot of weapons that have US parts and would be denied to use, such as Storm Shadow and similar.
I think we should but Europe doesn't have close to the mean to produce enough weapon as it is. When we started to help Ukraine we realized we couldn't even produce enough riffle bullets let alone missiles.
Europe is not a federal state. Military speaking there is no Europe. There's a bunch of small countries with their own industry and military capabilities. If Ukraine has french launchers they'll depend on the French industry to produce rockets, not on a 500M people country called "Europe" who has the capabilities to reorganize productions.
And currently no country in Europe is ready to relinquish militaries capabilities and prerogatives to the union.
Sounds like the U.S. military weapons industry should learn from the U.S. commercial gun industry and encourage straw purchases.
I"ve read that the EU's working on setting-up a standing army, small, but actual, & directly deployable..
According to this, nope:
https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2024/05/29/fact-check-is-the-eu-setting-up-a-european-army
it does seem strange, though:
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the extra-delay of extra-layers-of-bureaucracy is idiotic, in some situations, &
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NATO's gutted, once Trump steps-in, as he's a Putin ally, openly..
it'd be SANE to be doing that, with Trump & Putin dominating the world, in mere-weeks..
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That's not a part of the disarmament treaty the US and Ukraine signed as the Soviet union integrated who in their right mind will ever trust the US again when it comes to treaties. And who's ever going to stand alongside the US in future if they ever need it, they'd be crazy to.
who in their right mind will ever trust the US again
No one and why should they? We don't consistently honor our commitments even when doing so is to our own advantage.
And who's ever going to stand alongside the US in future if they ever need it, they'd be crazy to.
That's a whole separate topic. Much of the time, national alliances aren't rooted in mutual trust so much as "the enemy of my enemy is my friend."
That treaty said that the US and Russia would not attack Ukraine. It did not say the US would defend Ukraine against an attack.
The US held up its end.
Maybe try that approach with Israel instead...
The document proposes halting further US weapons deliveries to Kyiv if it does not enter peace talks with Moscow, while simultaneously warning Moscow that, should it refuse to negotiate, US support for Ukraine would increase.
Sounds simple enough. Enter peace talks, if a side refuses to do so, the USA helps the other side.
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