How does text prediction have nothing to do with programing?
The large majority of text is not code. To begin with, LLMs being able to generate code was more of an incidental discovery than anything, only then did you get specialised products for that purpose.
No, it’s not easy, ...
That's my whole point: if it's not easy, then you have to justify the cost. And while yes, as you say, behind a lot of the problems associated with AI, there are deeper underlying problems that have nothing to do with AI, but that doesn't mean that AI doesn't significantly add to the problems and the cost to solve them. Let's say you're in conflict with someone, in what situation do you expect that it's easier to resolve by talking it out: when they're unarmed or when they have a gun aimed at you? Same underlying problem, different difficulty in resolving the problem.
Only if you buy into the idea that it’s something we have to move the world for. You claim you can see how little an effect it has had, but you simultaneously seem to think it’s a big bad demon.
I don't understand how this is not getting through. Something can be worthless to one group of people and very valuable to another. If you care about truth, human wellbeing, creating value for society and so on, then AI (as in LLMs and other similar generative AI) is less than worthless to you. If you only care about gaining wealth and power and don't give a damn about what is true or what harm you may be causing to society, then it's the most impactful technology since social media. These two things can be true at the same time. And if you're not aware of all the problems the second group has been causing at a scale that's only possible because of AI, then quite frankly, you've been living under a rock. People getting laid off under the pretense that they can be replaced by AI is hardly the only problem.
Screaming regulate AI
Who said anything about regulating AI? I want nothing short of a third AI winter.