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Large Language Model Performance Doubles Every 7 Months (spectrum.ieee.org)
submitted 1 year ago by to c/technology@lemmy.world
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By 2030, AI will greatly outperform humans in some complex intellectual tasks. Discover how LLMs are doubling their capabilities every seven months.

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[–] 26 points 1 year ago*

Very good analogy. They're also ignoring that getting faster and faster at reaching a 50% success rate (a totally unacceptable success rate for meaningful tasks) doesn't imply ever achieving consistently acceptable success.

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