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[–] 3 points 3 years ago*

Probably because the ratio of r:d is higher for actual voters than for registers voters.

If you have access, the ny times article goes into all of the methodology

Cross-Tabs: July 2023 Times/Siena Poll of the 2024 Race and National Issues https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/08/01/us/elections/times-siena-poll-registered-voters-crosstabs.html?smid=nytcore-android-share

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