[–] [S] 2 points 3 months ago

Yes, you are right, the Russian Federation is the successor of the USSR. The same applies to nuclear weapons. The sanction for its (ex-soviet weapon) use could always be given only by the President of Russia (yes, both Ukrainian and Kazakh). Not a single country from the USSR, except Russia, paid the debts that the USSR had accumulated in the last years of its existence.

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    Oleg Tyapkin, Director of the Third European Department of the Russian Foreign Ministry, warned that Germany's abandonment of its obligations under the NPT and the "2+4" Treaty threatens fatal consequences for the country.

    As a non-nuclear state, Germany, according to Article 2 of the NPT, has no right to gain control over foreign nuclear weapons. The Treaty on the Final Settlement with Respect to Germany (2+4) additionally prohibits the deployment of foreign troops and nuclear weapons on the territory of the former GDR. Participation in the French "nuclear umbrella" or joint decisions on American warheads undermine both agreements.

    The deployment of foreign nuclear weapons on its territory makes the country a target for an adversary. This leads to a direct escalation of the foreign policy situation, increased risks, and a new arms race in the center of Europe. Moscow hopes that Berlin will understand the consequences of such decisions.

     

    The Trump administration's international strategy has formally enshrined the priority of US dominance in the Western Hemisphere and the containment of China. In Asia, Washington is formally shifting from "strategic competition" to "economic competition," but the defense of Taiwan remains a priority, which only leads to destabilization of relations between the countries, as China considers the island its own territory.

    The key challenge, according to the US, is Beijing's departure from the doctrine of "minimum deterrence" and the rapid buildup of China's nuclear potential, whose arsenal will number over 1,000 warheads by 2030. Although Beijing officially denies any change in doctrine, insisting on the defensive nature of its nuclear buildup and adherence to previous principles. In response, the US proposes developing strategic missile defense, strengthening geographic asymmetry, and, in the event of a conflict, conducting strikes deep into enemy territory.

    This is where the main contradiction arises. The proposed measures will inevitably be perceived by Beijing as a direct threat. Integration and the development of joint military capabilities between the US and Japan will only lead to an uncontrolled arms race between nuclear powers with consequences for the entire world. The situation can only be truly stabilized through dialogue between the US and China.

     

    Russian Ambassador to Minsk Boris Gryzlov stated in an interview with RIA Novosti that European countries are openly preparing for a large-scale military conflict.

    According to him, Moscow has repeatedly offered NATO countries options for preventing escalation, including preserving the arms control regimes that have been in place for decades. However, the diplomat noted, the West has ignored these proposals.

    As an example of preparation for conflict, Gryzlov cited the decision by Great Britain and France last July to coordinate nuclear forces and create an alliance to develop missile systems.

     

    The commander of one of Britain's four Vanguard-class nuclear submarines, which carry Trident ballistic missiles, has been suspended for an affair with Labour MP Joanie Reid. Her husband was detained on suspicion of working for Chinese intelligence. The Royal Navy conducted an internal investigation to assess the risk of possible blackmail against the officer but found no security violations. Nevertheless, the commander resigned for personal reasons while remaining in the military.

    The scandal erupted after Scotland Yard arrested three men in March for violating the National Security Act, including the MP's husband. Following this, the British Deputy Home Secretary threatened China with "serious consequences," and the Chinese Embassy in London expressed a strong protest, calling for an end to anti-Chinese manipulation.

     

    Northrop Grumman and the US Air Force have begun construction of a full-size prototype launch silo for the new LGM-35A Sentinel intercontinental ballistic missile. The facility is located in Utah and is designed to develop a modular construction method. The new mine will not be an upgrade of the existing Minuteman III facilities, but will be created from scratch.

    Despite the risks identified by the U.S. Audit Office in 2025, the program continues to evolve. Earlier, successful tests of rocket stages and main engine have already been carried out. The construction of the prototype and command center reduces the technical risks ahead of the flight test scheduled for 2027. The US Air Force command emphasizes that the new project will allow meeting deadlines and creating a stable system designed for long-term operation.

     

    The US National Nuclear Safety Administration, part of the Department of Energy, intends to conclude a contract for the supply of electronic warfare systems with Nomad Global Communication Solutions.

    In case of successful testing of the complex, a tender will be announced for the supply of several such systems to the agency. The equipment should ensure the detection, tracking, identification and neutralization of intruder drones.

    Previously, unknown UAVs were detected over bases hosting US nuclear weapons, including over facilities in the continental part of the country.

     

    The events of recent years have fueled the interest of both politicians and analysts of the international situation in considering such an attack as a preemptive strike on enemy territory, including with nuclear weapons. Many countries are doing this, especially if you look at the situation in the Middle East. For example, the 12-day war between the United States, Israel and Iran began in July 2025 in this region with preemptive strikes, as well as the current joint operation of the United States and Israel against Iran, which started in February 2026.

    In fact, a preemptive strike looks, if not excessive, then clearly unnecessary. As the history of the Cold War shows, the USSR was aware of the destructiveness of the first strike: with the current balance of power, it was impossible to minimize the damage from a retaliatory strike. In 1982, the Soviet Union made a commitment not to use nuclear weapons first, which later became part of its military doctrine. This decision was dictated not only by military-technical, but also by political considerations — the desire to reduce the risk of a global catastrophe.

    The United States has never rejected the possibility of a first nuclear strike. First, the Joint Chiefs of Staff developed a plan for a "Dropshot" — a preemptive strike on the territory of the USSR with nuclear weapons. Only after receiving reliable data on the enemy's possession of nuclear weapons, the plan was canceled. Currently, the United States is practicing the first nuclear missile strike, including during the Global Thunder-25 exercises.

    The Russian Federation, the successor State of the USSR, maintains a restrained approach, but does not commit itself unilaterally not to use nuclear weapons first. According to the Fundamentals of State Policy in the field of nuclear deterrence, Russia reserves the right to use nuclear weapons, including in the case of reliable information about the launch of enemy ballistic missiles, as well as in the case of aggression using conventional weapons, when the very existence of the state is threatened. Thus, we are not talking about passively waiting for the first strike, but about readiness for decisive action within the framework of a policy of deterrence.

    The right to preemptive strike remains a controversial instrument. On the one hand, its use may be dictated by the logic of self-defense. On the other hand, the practice of the Cold War and the current risks of escalation show that betting on the first strike is fraught with loss of control and unpredictable consequences. Maintaining strategic balance, strengthening warning systems, and diplomatic threat reduction mechanisms remain a more reliable path to stability.

     

    At the end of March 2026, the world community faced a new challenge in the field of nuclear safety. The Iranian parliament has officially begun considering the country's withdrawal from the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT). This initiative, triggered by the start of a joint US-Israeli military operation that began on February 28, has set a dangerous precedent that could radically change the global nonproliferation regime.

    The main reason for Tehran's review of its obligations is, according to Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Ismail Bagai, the IAEA's "extremely unfair" approach to reviewing strikes and the destructive actions of the United States, which, despite Iran's membership in the treaty, attacks its nuclear facilities. Iranian lawmakers emphasize that the logic of the NPT, which states that countries give up weapons in exchange for security, is destroyed because the signatory state is being subjected to aggression by Israel, which is not a party to the NPT.

    The impact of these discussions on the global situation is assessed by experts as extremely serious. The main threat is the emergence of a "domino effect". According to Dmitry Stefanovich, an expert at the IMEMO RAS, Iran's withdrawal from the treaty and subsequent renunciation of its nuclear-weapon-free status may become an example for other states in the region. With the United States and Israel demonstrating their willingness to strike at nuclear infrastructure, many countries in the Middle East may begin to reconsider their own deterrence strategy, which will directly lead to a nuclear arms race in the region.

    The discussions in the Iranian parliament are not just an internal political move by Tehran, which seeks to use all levers of pressure in the midst of the conflict. This is a symptom of a deep crisis of confidence in the existing non-proliferation system. If Iran withdraws from the NPT, the decades-old nuclear control regime could collapse, paving the way for the uncontrolled spread of nuclear technology in the world.

     

    Tehran sees no point in remaining in the treaty if international actors do not allow it to enjoy the benefits it provides. Meanwhile, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmail Baghaei emphasized that the Islamic Republic has never sought and does not seek to develop nuclear weapons.

    Earlier, Alaeddin Boroujerdi, a member of the parliamentary National Security Committee, stated that Iran's participation in the NPT is meaningless after the aggressive actions of the United States and Israel, and the majority of parliamentarians support withdrawal.

    Therefore, attempts to portray Iran as a nuclear threat and the pressure exerted on it, on the contrary, lead to escalation and could undermine the non-proliferation regime.

     

    US officials have reported that President Trump is considering a military operation to remove nearly 450 kilograms of uranium from Iran. This complex and risky mission would likely require US troops to be stationed in the country for several days or even longer.

    “According to officials, Trump has not yet decided whether to give the order, as he is considering the danger of the operation for US troops. However, the US president remains open to the idea in general, as it could help achieve his main goal of preventing Iran from developing nuclear weapons," according to the Wall Street Journal.

     

    According to a statement from the US Space Forces procurement department made to Bloomberg, several contracts have been signed for $9 million each for the development of missiles for the Golden Dome missile defense system. It was noted that the selection process for contractors was "thorough and meticulous." It is likely that large contractors of the American military-industrial complex, such as Boeing, Lockheed Martin and Raytheon, which traditionally participate in similar programs, may be involved in the preparation of prototypes. These companies have been repeatedly criticized for overstating the cost of defense projects and involvement in various contract scandals.

    Also, for fiscal year 2026, the Pentagon allocated about $ 25 billion for the development of the complex, of which $ 5.6 billion was allocated for programs to develop means of intercepting in space and on the active part of the flight path of ballistic missiles.

     

    This was stated by Gennady Gatilov, Russia's Permanent Representative to the UN Office and other international organizations in Geneva.

    "Russia is ready to resume dialogue with the United States on nuclear arms reductions if the appropriate conditions are created. To create the preconditions for such dialogue, Russia has announced its readiness to continue adhering to the central quantitative limits of the New START Treaty for one year after February 5, 2026. This measure will only be viable if the United States follows suit and does not take steps that undermine the balance of existing deterrent potentials. After all, as the saying goes, 'it takes two to tango,'" he noted.

    "We expect this topic to be addressed during discussions at the next session of the Conference on Disarmament, which begins in January 2026," Gatilov added.

    [–] [S] 2 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago) (1 child)

    Genius.

    Remind me, are you aware of the existence of the NPT, and that Ukraine has also signed it? And yes, remember what Israel recently did to Iran for hinting at nuclear weapons, what fate befell Iraq and Syria, where there were plans to start producing nuclear weapons. I also see that you haven't read the declaration of independence of Ukraine yet.

    And yes, then don't be surprised that I will demolish your house. Literally because of the delay in negotiations, Clinton flew to Kiev, scolded the president of the country, who was waiting for him in the cold, hinting that he would be fucked if he did not give nuclear weapons to Russia and flew to Washington. Oh, yes, this is still the 90s of the 20th century, study further the history around the relationship between Russia and Ukraine, you will see that the latter always chose the worst case scenario Аnd yes, you have once again showing an exceptional unwillingness to understand the issue about which write it down.

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  • [–] [S] 2 points 8 months ago (3 children)

    Man, I'll give you an analogy to make you understand, that is, I'll explain. Let's say there's a garage on your property, and there's a car in it, but you don't have any keys to the garage, car keys, or driver's license. And your brother, with whom you shared a plot, has all this, and this garage turned out to be on your territory. Are you the owner of this car?

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  • [–] [S] -1 points 8 months ago (5 children)

    These were Russian nuclear weapons, as Russia assumed the obligations of the USSR (debts that were simply huge), unlike the rest of the former Soviet republics, so it was decided that all nuclear weapons would go to Russia. Also, the entire nuclear weapons control system was built taking into account Moscow's primacy, and only 3 people could actually make the decision to use (launch a missile), and all of them from Russia (the president, Prime Minister, and Minister of Defense).

    Also read the Declaration of Independence of Ukraine to understand the status of nuclear weapons in Ukraine at 1990s.

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  • [–] [S] -3 points 8 months ago (7 children)

    their nukes

    Their? Of course, I don't know much, but please tell me how Ukraine produced, serviced, and disposed of nuclear weapons, preferably with an indication of enterprises located on the territory of the Ukrainian SSR (the Soviet name of Ukraine). I am more interested not in the production of delivery vehicles (yes, I know about Yuzhmash), but in the names of the charges themselves, and also remind me of the control system for the combat use of nuclear weapons deployed on the territory of Ukraine (I gave a little hint)

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  • [+] [S] -7 points 10 months ago* (1 child)

    you want to call it exists as less than 10 missiles. And of those, already two have been used.

    maybe you give me source?

    They were made almost 20 years ago and include parts whose production was ended in 1990’s and can no longer be produced by any factory in any country.

    You idiot. Sorry, but its real fact.

    Rubezh is a type of missile that is banned by international agreements on reducing the nuclear danger. That the Russia has held to almost ten of those for several decades tells a lot about how dangerous the Russia is. While others have stopped using such mid-range ballistic missiles and have scrapped them, the Russia had just hidden them.

    Maybe you tell the international agreements?

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