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Two things can be true at the same time (lemmy.world)
submitted 2 years ago by to c/politicalmemes@lemmy.world
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[–] 1 point 2 years ago* (1 child)

Yes, there are just two outcomes. If Trump wins, the Democrats will again move to the right to occupy what passes for the centre ground in American politics. Kamala is one of the most pro worker candidates they've had in my lifetime. If they lose against the most incompetently bad president the country had in my lifetime with the most left candidate they've had in decades, they will pivot back to the "centre".

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  • [–] 2 points 2 years ago (1 child)

    So if they loose because leftists don't like their policies enough to vote for them, they'll pivot right? What would be the logic behind such a decision?

    There's thousands of leftist votes available, all they have to do to access them is produce a more left-wing agenda (like, say, not being complicit in war crimes).

    But you're suggesting in response to this loss (as a result of not denouncing war crimes) they'll not, you know, denounce war crimes next time, but rather shift even more into the ground that's in direct competition with their only opponent and try to win die hard Republicans who'd vote a Big Mac into government if it wore a MAGA cap?

    Can you explain what you think their rationale would be for such a move?

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  • [–] 1 point 2 years ago (2 children)

    They'll lose because some fatally online "leftists" can't bring themselves to vote democrat no matter how bad the alternative is and they'll pivot right because they have some hope of winning over centrists, and the right wing politicians are the ones who are winning and the supposedly left wing ones get 1% of the popular vote and zero members into the electoral college. It's America after all.

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  • [–] 2 points 2 years ago (1 child)

    they'll pivot right because they have some hope of winning over centrists

    What makes you think that?

    I've already, in a different thread, posted the latest polls showing the majority of Americans want to stop arms sales to Israel. The data suggests stopping arms sales would win a huge number of votes, but it isn't Democrat policy.

    If the Democrats are likely to shift policy to seek votes, then why haven't they shifted to banning arms sales to Israel?

    Absent of further data, it doesn't look at all like Democrat policy follows available votes. It looks more like Democrat policy follows the wishes of their wealthy donors, so unless they tack to the right, I can't see why Democrat policy will.

    If you want to make a case that Democrat policy chases votes, you'll have to explain why they're not chasing the obvious anti-genocide vote?

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  • [–] -1 points 2 years ago* (1 child)

    Sigh. They'd see the republicans win and move right because it's the right who won. Stupid? Yes. Damaging? Yes. Can you or I change it? No.

    It's so illogical of you to suggest that losing to the right will shift them left. That's not how it works. It's not how it ever works. It's not even how it works in countries that have more balanced political systems.

    And victory for an incredibly delusionally far right wing president isn't the left wrong victory you seem to think it would be.

    Stop pretending that if the Democrats lose just one more time, America will suddenly turn communist. It won't. The route left comes through moving left, not lurching to the right again.

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  • [–] 0 points 2 years ago (1 child)

    If you read the whole post rather than just the bit of it you think you've got a condescending answer to, we might have a more productive conversation.

    The question was if your claim is that the Democrats have a policy of shifting in the direction of more votes, then why do they not shift in the direction of opposing arms sales to Israel?

    Your assumption that the Democrats move policy in the direction of more votes (the one you think it's so "stupid" to not know), is directly contradicted by the evidence that the majority of the country are anti-war and they are not shifting in that direction.

    Just repeating blind platitudes you read in The Atlantic is not an argument. You have to actually attempt to respond to what your interlocutor is saying.

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  • [–] 1 point 2 years ago (1 child)

    I didn't say it was stupid to not know that the Democrats pivot right when they need to gain more votes, I said that it's stupid and damaging that they do so.

    But it's also logical. Sadly, there isn't a secret leftist majority just waiting in the wings for that one extra well worded announcement from Harris so they can vote in droves and give the Democrats a supermajority up and down the ticket.

    Unfortunately, it's America, and elections are won or lost in the song states, so it'll be decided by a bunch of "centrists" in Pennsylvania who can't decide which is better, loony right wing Republican policies or more moderate Democrats. If it's too "communist", they're scared of it, but if you can give it some good ol' American branding like "Help for Heroes", you can get away with it.

    These are the centrist votes the Democrats need to win, but if they can win without them, they can afford to be more left wing.

    The centrist's both sidesism is as reality denying as your own, but the bad news for you is that there are a lot more of them than of leftists, so the Democrats are only safe from centrist influence of the left wing folk show up and vote for the less right wing option. Your refusal to compromise is exactly how you make it senseless for the Democrats to chase your votes. You were never going to vote for anything short of communism, so you were never going to participate in choosing the president so your opinions cannot ever matter to the Democrats. This is, unless you're prepared to vote for them sometimes, you know, when the choice is particularly stark and the country stands on the brink of fascism.

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  • [–] 0 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago) (1 child)

    Nice story, but none of it is true.

    I've already provided the data proving that there is a massive pool of voters ready to vote Democrat if they renounce genocide, but further to that data, here is more data specifically about the swing state Michigan which is a key state of the exact type you describe. The 'uncommitted' campaign specifically promises thousands of votes specifically on an anti-genocide ticket and the potentially election-deciding Arab-American demographic have dropped in Democrat support specifically on this issue.

    https://www.aaiusa.org/library/press-release-new-poll-arab-american-voters-evenly-divided-in-race-for-white-house

    Your argument is just post hoc storytelling to provide a reasonable sounding justification for the position you've nailed your flag to, but it's wrong. You've provided no data to support it and the data that is available shows the opposite.

    Edit: forgot the 'uncommitted' link https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-68427304

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  • [–] 1 point 2 years ago (1 child)

    You seem to think that I think the Democrats should both sides the Israeli conflict. I don't. They should absolutely stop propping up Netanyahu's evil campaign and tell Israel it can have military support from the USA again only when it withdraws from Gaza and Lebanon.

    Where we disagree is the effect on American politics of leftists abstaining from choosing the president by not voting or voting third party. The more leftists that the republicans' online pals can convince to exclude themselves from the electorate through voter purity arguments, the more right wing victories they get and the further to the right the Overton window is pushed.

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  • [–] 0 points 2 years ago (1 child)

    Where we disagree is...

    That's my understating too. What I'm arguing with these statistics is against your view that the Democrats will change policy (to the right) to chase votes.

    I'm presenting evidence to the contrary. Democrats do not change policy to chase votes. If they did, they would be chasing the anti-genocide vote. It's easy to capture and it's even probably required by international law.

    They clearly do not set policy to chase votes.

    They set policy to satisfy their donors, then they just expect votes.

    The only way to end that is to make it clear they cannot "expect votes, they must earn them.

    And yes, I'm well aware of the costs of making that statement, 4 years of hell. But if we let fear intimidate us, we never achieve anything. No one suggested we shouldn't fight the Nazis because 4 years of war would be nasty. We did it because it was the right thing to do.

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  • [–] 1 point 2 years ago (1 child)

    Democrats pivot to previously successful electoral strategies, namely those of the republicans. Sad, but true.

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  • [–] -1 points 2 years ago* (1 child)

    No. The Democrat approval rating among Arab-Americans used to be 74%. It's now 14%.

    They have actively moved away from electoral strategies which have worked in the past. They've done so because their wealthy donors told them to. Against the bulk of the electorate, against previously supportive demographics, against key groups in swing states...

    The Democrats are taking the very risk you're accusing us of taking (risking losing to Trump). They're doing so because they think they can just expect your vote. The way to stop them is to make it clear they cannot.

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  • [–] 1 point 2 years ago (1 child)

    And elect Trump. Showing them that fielding one of the most worker friendly candidates they have in my lifetime was a mistake and they should go back to centrists because they only win in the swing States when they do.

    If you can't vote Democrat when the alternative is a fascist who is proposing today to use the military against left wingers and promised his supporters that if they voted him on it would be the last election, you'll never vote Democrat and Harris would be entirely correct strategically to ignore your demands because there's always some compelling reason to disagree with political parties that can win power in America what with the electorate being so rabidly right wing generally.

    In the trolley dilemma you would let the trolley run over 100 people in your voter purity to not support the death of the 10 on the other track. Inaction can be the worse evil.

    You can tell me it's horrible and unfair and shouldn't be like this but the trolley is coming. Neither you nor I can stop it. No more than Kamala can single handedly bring about a ceasefire in Gaza in a fortnight.

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  • [–] -2 points 2 years ago

    they should go back to centrists because they only win in the swing States when they do.

    So the plan is to just completely igmore the evidence and repeat the same baseless and unsupported claim. You might as well be reading prophesies from the bible. I don't think you personally have anything to fear from a Trump presidency, it sounds like you and he would get on just fine.

    No more than Kamala can single handedly bring about a ceasefire in Gaza in a fortnight.

    Bollocks.

    “The Americans insisted and we are not in a place where we can refuse them. We rely on them for planes and military equipment. What are we supposed to do? Tell them no?” Yoav Gallant, Isreali defense minister

    All of our missiles, the ammunition, the precision-guided bombs, all the airplanes and bombs, it’s all from the US,...The minute they turn off the tap, you can’t keep fighting. You have no capability … Everyone understands that we can’t fight this war without the United States. Period" Maj Gen Yitzhak Brick, Israeli general.

    But by all I've read so far, you'll ignore this evidence too in favour of your blind faith. It's like talking to a Scientologist. Pointless.

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  • [–] 2 points 2 years ago (1 child)

    Oh and this...

    They'll lose because some fatally online "leftists" can't bring themselves to vote democrat no matter how bad the alternative is

    ... is a disgrace.

    They work for us. They chase our vote. That's how democracy works. We don't owe them a vote.

    I suggest maybe you stop blaming your fellow man, and defending those in power, and start blaming those in power and defending your fellow man.

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  • [–] -1 points 2 years ago

    They’ll lose because some fatally online “leftists” can’t bring themselves to vote democrat no matter how bad the alternative is

    … is a disgrace.

    True. You should be ashamed of yourselves. This vote matters. Stop pretending it's a game. Trump would be a disaster internationally and for American workers.

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