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[–] 15 points 2 years ago (2 children)

"Troll logic" is one of my favorite memes.

Exactly like being hit by lightning at any instant has a 50% risk because either it happens or it doesn't.

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  • Yes, but the probabilities (for the lightning) are not independent. So, while everyday there is a 50% chance to be hit be lightning, it's the same outcome every day. If you didn't get hit by lightning yesterday, you probably won't today either.

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