I think there's still 2 broad categories of people who would drop Reddit in a heartbeat, depending on the circumstances.
Those who are stuck to Reddit because that's where their community exists, and those who just haven't been able to get over the threshold of understanding how a federated social media ecosystem works and the onboarding process.
The second category can be solved by making it simple enough for your average tech illiterate user to join a server/Lemmy as a whole, and I think the first just needs a large enough impetus to make a move - once communities hit a certain size, they'll naturally attract more people.
I know for me, I joined Twitter despite not liking the platform because like 90% of the artists I followed on Tumblr left to go there during mass "female-presenting nipples" exodus. If it hadn't been for those communities migrating, I never would've left. And when I left Twitter when the Muskrat bought it (and later left Reddit), I lost all those communities I joined for in the first place. Many of those artists are either on Twitter or Instagram, and that's it - and I sure as hell want nothing to do with either platform; and the people from those Reddit communities have scattered to the winds or are still there.