โฒ 214 โผ Russians' support of Ukraine war collapses, finds poll (www.euronews.com) submitted 2 years ago by misk@sopuli.xyz to c/europe@feddit.de 26 comments fedilink hide all child comments
[โ] AllNewTypeFace@leminal.space 50 points 2 years ago (2 children) Is it possible to even measure public opinion in a totalitarian society? permalink fedilink source hideshow 4 child comments replies: [โ] letmesleep@feddit.de 20 points 2 years ago a totalitarian society Afaik Russia isn't totalitarian yet. They're "only" authoritarian. In the latter there's still a lot of private life left that isn't dictated by the state and therefore a lot of room to wiggle in a survey. That obviously doesn't mean you can get surveys with a western standard, but you can indeed gauge public opinion. Real authoritarian regimes are actually quite rare. I can't think of any examples besides North Korea and Afghanistan that clearly fit at the moment. permalink fedilink source parent [โ] interolivary@beehaw.org 20 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago) (1 child) There's actually a few different methods that can give you at least more accurate results if not 100% accurate (which polling never really is in the first place.) Eg. list experiments are a potentially useful method. You start off with a list of statements like "I like candy" or whatever and you ask people how many of those they agree with (ie. not which ones, just the amount), which gives you an approximate baseline. Then you give another set of people the same list but with eg. "I support the war in Ukraine" added on (hypothetical example, nobody please get pedantic about the wording), and you then compare the total number of agreed-on statements with your baseline. Here's an example from LSE last year that used this method: https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2022/04/06/do-russians-tell-the-truth-when-they-say-they-support-the-war-in-ukraine-evidence-from-a-list-experiment/ permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [โ] letmesleep@feddit.de 8 points 2 years ago (1 child) That's also used in surveys in democratic countries. The example I heard in statistics class was the question "did you ever visit a prostitute". It's obvious that you need to anonymize that to get somewhat honest answers. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [โ] interolivary@beehaw.org 6 points 2 years ago Oh yeah it'll work for any "sensitive" statement permalink fedilink source parent
[โ] letmesleep@feddit.de 20 points 2 years ago a totalitarian society Afaik Russia isn't totalitarian yet. They're "only" authoritarian. In the latter there's still a lot of private life left that isn't dictated by the state and therefore a lot of room to wiggle in a survey. That obviously doesn't mean you can get surveys with a western standard, but you can indeed gauge public opinion. Real authoritarian regimes are actually quite rare. I can't think of any examples besides North Korea and Afghanistan that clearly fit at the moment. permalink fedilink source parent
[โ] interolivary@beehaw.org 20 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago) (1 child) There's actually a few different methods that can give you at least more accurate results if not 100% accurate (which polling never really is in the first place.) Eg. list experiments are a potentially useful method. You start off with a list of statements like "I like candy" or whatever and you ask people how many of those they agree with (ie. not which ones, just the amount), which gives you an approximate baseline. Then you give another set of people the same list but with eg. "I support the war in Ukraine" added on (hypothetical example, nobody please get pedantic about the wording), and you then compare the total number of agreed-on statements with your baseline. Here's an example from LSE last year that used this method: https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2022/04/06/do-russians-tell-the-truth-when-they-say-they-support-the-war-in-ukraine-evidence-from-a-list-experiment/ permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [โ] letmesleep@feddit.de 8 points 2 years ago (1 child) That's also used in surveys in democratic countries. The example I heard in statistics class was the question "did you ever visit a prostitute". It's obvious that you need to anonymize that to get somewhat honest answers. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [โ] interolivary@beehaw.org 6 points 2 years ago Oh yeah it'll work for any "sensitive" statement permalink fedilink source parent
[โ] letmesleep@feddit.de 8 points 2 years ago (1 child) That's also used in surveys in democratic countries. The example I heard in statistics class was the question "did you ever visit a prostitute". It's obvious that you need to anonymize that to get somewhat honest answers. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [โ] interolivary@beehaw.org 6 points 2 years ago Oh yeah it'll work for any "sensitive" statement permalink fedilink source parent
[โ] interolivary@beehaw.org 6 points 2 years ago Oh yeah it'll work for any "sensitive" statement permalink fedilink source parent