You are most likely correct that it's too early to say. I don't have a problem conceding that point to you.

I think Reddit did shoot itself in the foot though, regardless of if they are still around. I don't know that they will ever be able to regain what it has lost.

As a Reddit refugee myself I can say that for me they absolutely fucked over the chance to have me return to their platform, and many if not most of other refugees I'm guessing would share a similar opinion