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[–] 14 points 9 months ago (2 children)

Xi will invade Taiwan when the opportunity comes up, when the US/West is distracted elsewhere with another war. Trump is trying to start one with Venezuela and Columbia as we speak, and Russia is tiptoeing the line trying to see how far they can push NATO with drone incursions, sabotage etc before Europe finally bites back. It seems like the exact opposite is true here, Xi will attack Taiwan while Trump is in office.

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  • [–] 2 points 9 months ago

    Direct action against Taiwan is unlikely. There's no scenario where an invasion happens and the chip manufacturing stays intact. What is likely is China invades elsewhere with increased influence over Taiwan as a goal.

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