The growth metrics are really interesting. Half year active users continue to steadily climb, however I believe based on the monthly active users being plateued (and even in mild decline) that this will level off in the near future unless something sparks another wave of migration.
Meanwhile, I think there are two things to be taken from the slow decline of monthly active users now that the big migration is behind us. I think we're seeing three things
- Some people tried lemmy or kbin and didn't have an experience to keep them around. Maybe they didn't understand how the federation of communities worked and they ended up leaving because they didn't like that there was !technology@beehaw.org, !technology@lemmy.ml, and !technology@lemmy.world. maybe it was bugs (this whole ecosystem is in an alpha state). Maybe it was simply choice of instance giving them an overall negative impression of the Threadiverse. And maybe it was just that their favorite niche communities moved to other platforms, or didn't move at all
- People who took some time to find the right instance from them have settled into their preferred instance
- The Threadiverse has reached a critical mass, and will continue to be a thriving and active community even if the growth will slow down to a more nature curve for the time to come
I also do foresee more migrations in our future. I know multiple friends who are waiting for their favorite apps (Sync and Boost in their cases) to be ported over. We've probably already experienced our biggest mass migration, but I'd say overall the past two months have been a win for the Threadiverse