I'm afraid you might be right!
What's your theory?
My nightmare goes like this:
- Some form of spam and plain wrongdoing will emerge with the rise of awareness about this fediverse thing.
- To cut a long story short: then some form of control will have to be put in place - like spam filters, blacklists, server whitelists and the like - and the hole thing goes the way of the email and the usenet, making it almost impossible to keep a server as an independent hobbyist.
- Some cleaver provider will offer a free $ervice and enforces the control techniques mentioned above reinforcing its use and closing the circle.
My hope:
- This thing will "never fly" and consequently only really committed and interesting people will linger. Great!
- A second best hypothesis is becoming the second best forever - the best place to be, like linux.
- The fediverse community gets really large and popular and has so many servers and services that it becomes impossible to capture by a single giant player.
- People will "see it coming" and vote intelligently with their feet refusing the big players and choosing freedom instead. Hahahaha!...