That depends on a bunch of factors.
Here's my take on what "caused" the Great Depression (over simplification, obviously):
- Widespread deflation as countries returned to the gold standard after WW1
- Reduced spending due to 1 (holding cash was better than investing)
- Tariffs further reduce demand by hiking prices
This time around, spending is pretty healthy, we're not in a deflationary environment (just coming off an inflationary environment), etc. Tariffs will likely cause a demand shock due to higher prices though, so I think recession is likely as spending falls off (assuming the tariffs stick). I doubt we'll see a depression unless Trump increases tariffs again in response like Hoover did.
Everything depends on how the US gov handles the reaction to tariffs and how other countries react as well.